Tennis · UTR Pro East Lansing Women · 22/08, 19:00
Prediction: Ellison Reynoldson vs Jessica Kovalcik
Team pages: Ellison Reynoldson · Jessica Kovalcik
Prediction summary
Winner
Ellison Reynoldson
Jessica Kovalcik
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ellison Reynoldson
3-7 (W-L)
Jessica Kovalcik
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ellison Reynoldson 1444 · Jessica Kovalcik 1439
| Ellison Reynoldson | Jessica Kovalcik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jessica Kovalcik makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ellison Reynoldson | Jessica Kovalcik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.6 | 9.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 55% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ellison Reynoldson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Amiya Bowles UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Anastasia Akuginova UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Hephzibah Oluwadare UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Anna Bennett UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Irina Cantos Siemers UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Jessica Kovalcik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Nora Syrtveit UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Ellie Blackford UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Isabella Barretto UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/01 | Emerson Jones (USA) UTR Pro South Bend Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/01 | Sienna Osborne UTR Pro South Bend Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/01 | Olivia Dorner UTR Pro South Bend Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/01 | Lola Mireille Glantz UTR Pro South Bend Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Marilouise Van Zyl UTR Pro South Bend Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/01 | Elizabeth Coleman UTR Pro South Bend Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ellison Reynoldson vs Jessica Kovalcik?
Our model gives 50% to Ellison Reynoldson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.