Tennis · UTR Pro East Lansing Women · 18/08, 17:30
Prediction: Ekaterina Ivanova vs Ariane Lesterhuis
Team pages: Ekaterina Ivanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Ivanova
Ariane Lesterhuis
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Ivanova
7-3 (W-L)
Ariane Lesterhuis
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Ivanova 1549 · Ariane Lesterhuis 1423
| Ekaterina Ivanova | Ariane Lesterhuis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Ivanova (rating 1549 vs 1423).
- Ekaterina Ivanova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Ivanova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Ariane Lesterhuis makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Ivanova | Ariane Lesterhuis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.8 | 8.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 51.2% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Ivanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Elizabeth Isyanov UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Macy Hitchcock UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Anna Bennett UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Mira Kernagis UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Georgia Cranford UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ariane Lesterhuis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Maia Loureiro UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Marylove Edwards UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/05 | Jelena Vico UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Zimora Mcknight UTR Pro Urbana Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Urbana Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Estela Loureiro UTR Pro Urbana Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Ivanova vs Ariane Lesterhuis?
Our model gives 78% to Ekaterina Ivanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.