Tennis · M15 Bastad · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Niklas Guttau vs Isac Stroemberg

Team pages: Niklas Guttau · Isac Stroemberg

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Niklas Guttau Isac Stroemberg
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Niklas Guttau 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWLL
Isac Stroemberg 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niklas Guttau 1527 · Isac Stroemberg 1469
Niklas GuttauIsac Stroemberg
Our model58%42%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Guttau (rating 1527 vs 1469).

Statistics

Niklas GuttauIsac Stroemberg
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.9-8.79.7-11
Aces1.61.8
Double faults1.83.4
1st serve %68.3%65.7%
Break %54.5%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niklas Guttau

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Olle Wallin
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
09/08 Nikolai Barsukov
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 19-15 W
06/08 Vladyslav Orlov
M15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 13-13 L
05/08 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-4 W
31/07 Tom Zeuch
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Koszalin
2-0 13-9 W
28/07 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Koszalin
2-0 8-2 W
16/07 Lasse Poertner
M15 Uslar
0-2 5-9 L
15/07 Aryan Shah
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-12 L

Isac Stroemberg

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Jan Simonsson
M15 Malmo
1-2 15-17 L
21/07 Niels Ratiu
M25 Metzingen
1-2 8-10 L
16/07 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Uslar
0-2 7-13 L
15/07 Lewie Lane
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Andre Megrabian
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Ruben Hartig
M25 Kassel
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Jan Sebesta
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 11-12 L
14/06 Yannick Castelnuovo
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 9-9 W
10/06 Raphael Vaksmann
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niklas Guttau vs Isac Stroemberg?

Our model gives 68% to Niklas Guttau, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.