Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 18/08, 05:30

Prediction: Zhenxiong Dong vs Zhao Zhao

Team pages: Zhao Zhao

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Zhenxiong Dong Zhao Zhao
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Zhenxiong Dong 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLLW
Zhao Zhao 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhenxiong Dong 1437 · Zhao Zhao 1494
Zhenxiong DongZhao Zhao
Our model42%58%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhao Zhao (rating 1437 vs 1494).

Statistics

Zhenxiong DongZhao Zhao
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.3-1.2
Games (G-P)9.5-11.511.6-11.4
Aces1.95.2
Double faults3.62.4
1st serve %63.6%70.9%
Break %36.9%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhenxiong Dong

WLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/06 Jaesung Choe
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 10-13 L
03/06 Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/06 Alexey Aleshchev
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
27/05 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Shu Muto
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/04 Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Luzhou · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/04 Qian Sun
M25 Luzhou · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
14/04 Colin Sinclair
M25 Anning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/04 Xiaofei Wang
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
07/04 Maksim Shin
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Zhao Zhao

LWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Shu Muto
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 12-11 L
15/07 Minghui Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
02/07 Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Ye Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Joshua Charlton
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
23/06 Zijiang Yang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
04/06 Grigoriy Lomakin
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 6-10 L
03/06 Yuquan Jin
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 18-16 W
02/06 Zijiang Yang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/05 Jaesung Choe
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhenxiong Dong vs Zhao Zhao?

Our model gives 54% to Zhao Zhao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.