Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 26/08, 04:00
Prediction: Hanyi Liu vs Xing Dao Chen
Team pages: Hanyi Liu · Xing Dao Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanyi Liu
Xing Dao Chen
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hanyi Liu
9-1 (W-L)
Xing Dao Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanyi Liu 1567 · Xing Dao Chen 1446
| Hanyi Liu | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanyi Liu (rating 1567 vs 1446).
- Hanyi Liu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hanyi Liu | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.7 | 9.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jia Hu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Xing Dao Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 09/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 08/07 | Sheng Tang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Siwanat Auytayakul M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanyi Liu vs Xing Dao Chen?
Our model gives 74% to Hanyi Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.