Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 18/08, 06:00
Prediction: Amelia Zylberman vs Lucia Gale
Team pages: Amelia Zylberman · Lucia Gale
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelia Zylberman
Lucia Gale
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Zylberman
5-5 (W-L)
Lucia Gale
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelia Zylberman 1508 · Lucia Gale 1458
| Amelia Zylberman | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amelia Zylberman (rating 1508 vs 1458).
- Note: Amelia Zylberman makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Amelia Zylberman | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.8 | 8.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 55% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelia Zylberman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Caitlin Baker UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Faustine Liope UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/06 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/12 | Charlotte Vanstone Mcgrath UTR Pro Craigieburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/12 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Craigieburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/12 | Mahta Khanloo UTR Pro Craigieburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/12 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Craigieburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Lucia Gale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Roisin Gilheany W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Lidia Podgorichani W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Eunchae Kim W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/05 | Amittalai Prasutnawin W15 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Amittalai Prasutnawin W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelia Zylberman vs Lucia Gale?
Our model gives 59% to Lucia Gale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.