Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 21/08, 02:30
Prediction: Sara Mickoska vs I Wen Wan
Team pages: Sara Mickoska · I Wen Wan
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Mickoska
I Wen Wan
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Mickoska
6-4 (W-L)
I Wen Wan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Mickoska 1485 · I Wen Wan 1544
| Sara Mickoska | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours I Wen Wan (rating 1485 vs 1544).
- Note: Sara Mickoska makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Sara Mickoska | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.1 | 10.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Mickoska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Bianca Compuesto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Shiho Shibata W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Caitlin Abela UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Olivia Quigley UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Bianca Compuesto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Jiangxue Han W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Mickoska vs I Wen Wan?
Our model gives 78% to I Wen Wan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.