Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 17/08, 09:30
Prediction: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Antonia Stoyanov
Team pages: Lucija Ciric Bagaric · Antonia Stoyanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Antonia Stoyanov
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
8-2 (W-L)
Antonia Stoyanov
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1537 · Antonia Stoyanov 1607
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Antonia Stoyanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antonia Stoyanov (rating 1537 vs 1607).
- Note: Antonia Stoyanov makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Antonia Stoyanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.7 | 12-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 71.9% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lana Virc W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Bianca E Barbulescu W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Rachel Gailis WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Antonia Stoyanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Gabriela Ce W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Torino |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Angelica Raggi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Antonia Stoyanov?
Our model gives 54% to Antonia Stoyanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.