Tennis · W35 Krakow · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sandra Samir vs Polina Leykina
Team pages: Sandra Samir · Polina Leykina
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandra Samir
Polina Leykina
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sandra Samir
4-6 (W-L)
Polina Leykina
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sandra Samir
0–1
Polina Leykina
(1 last)
- 20 Aug1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandra Samir 1431 · Polina Leykina 1582
| Sandra Samir | Polina Leykina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Leykina (rating 1431 vs 1582).
- Polina Leykina is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sandra Samir 0–1 Polina Leykina (1).
- Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Sandra Samir | Polina Leykina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.8 | 10.9-7.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.9% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Sandra Samir 0 – 1 Polina Leykina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandra Samir 0–1 Polina Leykina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/21 ITF W25 Vrnjacka Banja | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandra Samir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Bydgoszcz |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Polina Leykina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Jenny Duerst W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Abigayel Vosloo W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandra Samir vs Polina Leykina?
Our model gives 55% to Polina Leykina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.