Tennis · W35 Krakow · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Marcelina Podlinska vs Yasmine Mansouri
Team pages: Marcelina Podlinska · Yasmine Mansouri
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcelina Podlinska
Yasmine Mansouri
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marcelina Podlinska
3-7 (W-L)
Yasmine Mansouri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcelina Podlinska 1441 · Yasmine Mansouri 1490
| Marcelina Podlinska | Yasmine Mansouri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yasmine Mansouri (rating 1441 vs 1490).
- Note: Yasmine Mansouri makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Marcelina Podlinska | Yasmine Mansouri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.2 | 9.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcelina Podlinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Urszula Radwanska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Klara Kajabova W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Sarah Iliev W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Alice Soulie W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Tena Lukas W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Yasmine Mansouri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Jenny Lim W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Eleni Tsetsou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Scarlet Kavanagh W35 Don Benito |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrea Palazon W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/05 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/05 | Lya Fernandez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcelina Podlinska vs Yasmine Mansouri?
Our model gives 52% to Marcelina Podlinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.