Tennis · M15 Lambermont · 17/08, 11:00
Prediction: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Dean Thurner
Team pages: Thanaphat Boosarawongse · Dean Thurner
Prediction summary
Winner
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
Dean Thurner
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
5-5 (W-L)
Dean Thurner
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thanaphat Boosarawongse 1578 · Dean Thurner 1446
| Thanaphat Boosarawongse | Dean Thurner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thanaphat Boosarawongse (rating 1578 vs 1446).
- Thanaphat Boosarawongse is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Dean Thurner makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Thanaphat Boosarawongse | Dean Thurner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.8 | 7.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Trier |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Jack Bruce-Smith M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Aniketh Venkataraman M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Dean Thurner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Clement Wauters M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Dany Robas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-11 | W |
| 21/04 | Henry Lieberman M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 03/03 | Luca Parenti M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Ozan Avanoglu M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 02/02 | Thomas Drayton M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 26/01 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Steffan Van Weldam UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Dean Thurner?
Our model gives 80% to Thanaphat Boosarawongse, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.