Tennis · M15 Lambermont · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: John Sperle vs Rafael Giotis
Team pages: John Sperle · Rafael Giotis
Prediction summary
Winner
John Sperle
Rafael Giotis
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
John Sperle
6-4 (W-L)
Rafael Giotis
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Sperle 1484 · Rafael Giotis 1442
| John Sperle | Rafael Giotis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours John Sperle (rating 1484 vs 1442).
- Note: Rafael Giotis makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| John Sperle | Rafael Giotis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.5 | 7.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Sperle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Amit Vales Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Dominik Palan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Adam Jilly M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Rafael Giotis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Andrea Motta M15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 22/07 | Jack Loge M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Arthur Laborde M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ruben Lebron Puerta M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/05 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Cooper Williams M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Sperle vs Rafael Giotis?
Our model gives 75% to John Sperle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.