Tennis · M15 Lambermont · 20/08, 10:00

Prediction: Noah Schlagenhauf vs Stijn Paardekooper

Team pages: Noah Schlagenhauf · Stijn Paardekooper

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Noah Schlagenhauf Stijn Paardekooper
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Schlagenhauf 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWLW
Stijn Paardekooper 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noah Schlagenhauf 1508 · Stijn Paardekooper 1575
Noah SchlagenhaufStijn Paardekooper
Our model40%60%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1508 vs 1575).
  • Stijn Paardekooper is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Noah SchlagenhaufStijn Paardekooper
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.7-0.5
Games (G-P)12.8-1111.6-7.8
Aces2.33
Double faults1.20
1st serve %71.3%76%
Break %38.2%67%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noah Schlagenhauf

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Stian Klaassen
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
13/08 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Koksijde
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 David Tixhon
M25 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
07/08 Abel Forger
M15 Eupen
1-2 13-17 L
06/08 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Eupen
2-1 20-19 W
05/08 Remy Dugardin
M15 Eupen
2-1 18-12 W
21/07 Justin Schlageter
M25 Metzingen
1-2 12-11 L
16/07 Vincent Marysko
M15 Uslar
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Noel Larwig
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L

Stijn Paardekooper

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Noah Thurner
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
15/08 Raul Clarijs
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 11-12 L
14/08 Aaron Hilsum
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
12/08 Sam Kydd Baumgartner
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
11/08 Riccardo Campagnola
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/08 Tej Bhagra
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/07 Niels Lootsma
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/07 Vaclav Schneider
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
23/07 Marc Mail
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
22/07 Timeo Gaillard
UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noah Schlagenhauf vs Stijn Paardekooper?

Our model gives 51% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.