Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · 16/08, 10:30
Prediction: Mariya Yemshanova vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
Team pages: Mariya Yemshanova · Zhibek Kulambayeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariya Yemshanova
Zhibek Kulambayeva
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mariya Yemshanova
2-8 (W-L)
Zhibek Kulambayeva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariya Yemshanova 1411 · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1529
| Mariya Yemshanova | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 4% | 96% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhibek Kulambayeva (rating 1411 vs 1529).
- Zhibek Kulambayeva is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mariya Yemshanova makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mariya Yemshanova | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.4-12.2 | 10.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 42.8% | 50.8% |
| Break % | 63.6% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariya Yemshanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Laia Petretic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Jana Bojovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Xinran Sun W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Zhibek Kulambayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Elena Korokozidi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Ying Zhang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 13/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Marie Vogt W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariya Yemshanova vs Zhibek Kulambayeva?
Our model gives 83% to Zhibek Kulambayeva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.