Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · 16/08, 14:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Ikumi Yamazaki
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva · Ikumi Yamazaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Ikumi Yamazaki
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
3-7 (W-L)
Ikumi Yamazaki
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1503 · Ikumi Yamazaki 1509
| Lia Karatancheva | Ikumi Yamazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ikumi Yamazaki makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Ikumi Yamazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.6 | 11.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 04/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nika Hurkacz WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Ikumi Yamazaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Martina Lo Pumo W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Ikumi Yamazaki?
Our model gives 59% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.