Tennis · M15 Lambermont · 16/08, 13:00
Prediction: Idriss Haddouch vs Lars Wagenaar
Team pages: Idriss Haddouch · Lars Wagenaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Idriss Haddouch
Lars Wagenaar
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Idriss Haddouch
5-5 (W-L)
Lars Wagenaar
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Idriss Haddouch
0–1
Lars Wagenaar
(1 last)
- 02 Jun1-2 14-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Idriss Haddouch 1483 · Lars Wagenaar 1481
| Idriss Haddouch | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Idriss Haddouch 0–1 Lars Wagenaar (1).
- Note: Lars Wagenaar makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Idriss Haddouch | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.8 | 9.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 65% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Idriss Haddouch 0 – 1 Lars Wagenaar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Idriss Haddouch 0–1 Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/25 UTR Pro Ahaus | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Idriss Haddouch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Abel Forger M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Parth Aggarwal M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ghali Salah-Eddine M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Walid Ahouda M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jordi Domenech Castillo M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/11 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/11 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/11 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/11 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sep De Visser M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Timo De Visser M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Timo De Visser UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Andras Necz UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Marcel Zielinski UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Alexander Glomb UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Idriss Haddouch vs Lars Wagenaar?
Our model gives 54% to Lars Wagenaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.