Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 16/08, 10:00
Prediction: Rositsa Dencheva vs Mia Ristic
Team pages: Rositsa Dencheva · Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Rositsa Dencheva
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rositsa Dencheva
9-1 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rositsa Dencheva 1602 · Mia Ristic 1602
| Rositsa Dencheva | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rositsa Dencheva | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.1 | 13.5-9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rositsa Dencheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Golovina W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Sofya Lansere W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Mia Ristic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Gabriela Ce W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rositsa Dencheva vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 52% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.