Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 16/08, 03:30
Prediction: Haru Kawanaka vs Shotaro Yamamoto
Team pages: Haru Kawanaka · Shotaro Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Haru Kawanaka
Shotaro Yamamoto
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Haru Kawanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Shotaro Yamamoto
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haru Kawanaka 1433 · Shotaro Yamamoto 1448
| Haru Kawanaka | Shotaro Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Haru Kawanaka makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Shotaro Yamamoto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Haru Kawanaka | Shotaro Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12.6 | 8-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 38% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haru Kawanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Haruka Okubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Ryuto Kizaki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Shotaro Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Niels Leth Jargin UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Ryuto Kizaki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Katsutoshi Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haru Kawanaka vs Shotaro Yamamoto?
Our model gives 54% to Shotaro Yamamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.