Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 12/08, 06:00
Prediction: Kotaro Mochizuki vs Haru Kawanaka
Team pages: Kotaro Mochizuki · Haru Kawanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Kotaro Mochizuki
Haru Kawanaka
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kotaro Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Haru Kawanaka
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kotaro Mochizuki
3–0
Haru Kawanaka
(3 last)
- 03 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 13 Aug2-0 12-2W
- 19 Jun2-0 12-1W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kotaro Mochizuki 1490 · Haru Kawanaka 1399
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Haru Kawanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kotaro Mochizuki (rating 1490 vs 1399).
- Kotaro Mochizuki is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kotaro Mochizuki 3–0 Haru Kawanaka (3).
- Note: Kotaro Mochizuki makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Haru Kawanaka makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Haru Kawanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 9.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 60% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Kotaro Mochizuki 3 – 0 Haru Kawanaka (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kotaro Mochizuki 3–0 Haru Kawanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06/25 UTR Pro Fukui | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Haru Kawanaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Ryuto Kizaki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Jared Horwood UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/04 | Kanari Izumisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kotaro Mochizuki vs Haru Kawanaka?
Our model gives 74% to Kotaro Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.