Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 12/08, 04:30
Prediction: Shotaro Yamamoto vs Kai Milburn
Team pages: Kai Milburn
Prediction summary
Winner
Shotaro Yamamoto
Kai Milburn
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Shotaro Yamamoto
3-7 (W-L)
Kai Milburn
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shotaro Yamamoto 1479 · Kai Milburn 1546
| Shotaro Yamamoto | Kai Milburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Milburn (rating 1479 vs 1546).
- Note: Shotaro Yamamoto makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Shotaro Yamamoto | Kai Milburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.3 | 10.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shotaro Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Niels Leth Jargin UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Ryuto Kizaki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Katsutoshi Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/03 | Bence Boros UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/03 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kai Milburn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Kotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Ryosuke Inagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/12 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Matthieu Chambonniere UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Isac Stroemberg UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shotaro Yamamoto vs Kai Milburn?
Our model gives 70% to Kai Milburn, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.