Tennis · ATP Cincinnati MD · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Luz/Matos vs Harrison/Skupski
Team pages: Luz/Matos · Harrison/Skupski
Prediction summary
Winner
Luz/Matos
Harrison/Skupski
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luz/Matos
5-5 (W-L)
Harrison/Skupski
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luz/Matos
0–4
Harrison/Skupski
(4 last)
- 20 May1-2 12-20L
- 11 May0-2 8-13L
- 10 Mar0-2 7-12L
- 14 Jan0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luz/Matos 1572 · Harrison/Skupski 1520
| Luz/Matos | Harrison/Skupski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luz/Matos (rating 1572 vs 1520).
- Luz/Matos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Luz/Matos 0–4 Harrison/Skupski (4).
Statistics
| Luz/Matos | Harrison/Skupski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 17-13.9 | 15.2-15 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 82% |
| Break % | 35% | 19.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
H2H · Luz/Matos 0 – 4 Harrison/Skupski (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luz/Matos 0–4 Harrison/Skupski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 ATP Hamburg MD | 1-2 | 12-20 | L |
| 11/05/26 ATP Rome MD | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/03/26 ATP Indian Wells MD | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/01/26 ATP Adelaide MD | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/08 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 25-21 | W |
| 07/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Isaro/Paris ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gonzalez/Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Droguet/Jacquet ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 24/07 | Arends/Pel ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-16 | W |
Harrison/Skupski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 29/07 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Washington MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Hidalgo/Shelton ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Kokkinakis/Kovacevic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Paul/Seggerman Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Etcheverry/Kestelboim Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 21-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Doumbia/Reymond ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luz/Matos vs Harrison/Skupski?
Our model gives 51% to Harrison/Skupski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.