Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 14/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Zaar vs Mia Ristic
Team pages: Lisa Zaar · Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Lisa Zaar
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Zaar
4-6 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Zaar 1487 · Mia Ristic 1583
| Lisa Zaar | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1487 vs 1583).
- Mia Ristic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lisa Zaar | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.9 | 12.5-6.8 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Zaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Sofya Lansere W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Lia Karatancheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Gabriela Ce W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Zaar vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 64% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.