Tennis · M15 Trier · 13/08, 12:30

Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Thiago Cigarran

Team pages: Adrian Oetzbach · Thiago Cigarran

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Adrian Oetzbach Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLW
Thiago Cigarran 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1554 · Thiago Cigarran 1537
Adrian OetzbachThiago Cigarran
Our model52%48%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Thiago Cigarran makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Adrian OetzbachThiago Cigarran
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.2-10.911.5-10.4
Aces3.41.7
Double faults2.24.1
1st serve %69.9%66%
Break %44.6%36.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adrian Oetzbach

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Trier
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 David Fix
M15 Frankfurt
1-2 16-16 L
05/08 Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-8 W
26/07 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
25/07 Raphael Perot
M25 Metzingen
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Metzingen
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Jack Loge
M25 Metzingen
2-0 14-12 W
22/07 Pieter De Lange
M25 Metzingen
2-0 12-8 W
19/07 Oleksii Krutykh
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-9 W
18/07 Vincent Marysko
M15 Uslar
2-1 15-14 W

Thiago Cigarran

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Ronald Hohmann
M15 Trier
2-0 14-11 W
18/07 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 9-13 L
17/07 Murkel Dellien
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-8 W
14/07 Santiago Lora
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-8 W
11/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 7-13 L
10/07 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-1 16-16 W
08/07 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
22/06 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Thiago Cigarran?

Our model gives 63% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.