Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Michael Agwi
Team pages: Maxime Chazal · Michael Agwi
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Chazal
Michael Agwi
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Chazal
8-2 (W-L)
Michael Agwi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1589 · Michael Agwi 1494
| Maxime Chazal | Michael Agwi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1589 vs 1494).
- Maxime Chazal is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Michael Agwi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.7 | 11.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Tim Hammes M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Strasbourg |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Michael Agwi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Amaury Raynel M15 Trier |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jules Leroux M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sydney Zick M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Jannik Soetebier M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Antoine Ghibaudo M25 Toulouse |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Michael Agwi?
Our model gives 65% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.