Tennis · M15 Trier · 13/08, 10:00

Prediction: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Marcel Zielinski

Team pages: Thanaphat Boosarawongse · Marcel Zielinski

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Thanaphat Boosarawongse Marcel Zielinski
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thanaphat Boosarawongse 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLWW
Marcel Zielinski 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thanaphat Boosarawongse 1623 · Marcel Zielinski 1588
Thanaphat BoosarawongseMarcel Zielinski
Our model55%45%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Thanaphat BoosarawongseMarcel Zielinski
Win %90%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.6-0.8
Games (G-P)12.2-8.812.5-9.8
Aces3.71.2
Double faults2.23
1st serve %74%67.6%
Break %50.1%41.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thanaphat Boosarawongse

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Trier
2-0 12-2 W
11/08 Patrick-Valentin Moise
M15 Trier
2-1 8-7 W
26/07 Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Bali
2-1 17-14 W
25/07 Alexander Chang
M15 Bali
2-1 16-15 W
24/07 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali
2-1 17-13 W
23/07 Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Bali
2-0 13-9 W
20/07 Jack Bruce-Smith
M15 Bali
2-0 12-8 W
19/07 Aniketh Venkataraman
M15 Bali
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
14/07 Masaki Ishikawa
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-0 6-2 W

Marcel Zielinski

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trier
2-1 16-11 W
08/08 Vladyslav Orlov
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-8 W
07/08 Michael Savano
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 16-12 W
06/08 Alexander Wagner
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 15-7 W
05/08 Gabriele Vulpitta
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 17-16 W
31/07 Daniel Michalski
M25 Koszalin
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Jan Sadzik
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Jakub Jedrzejczak
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-4 W
20/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/07 Matt Ponchet
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 14-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Marcel Zielinski?

Our model gives 61% to Marcel Zielinski, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.