Tennis · M15 Malmo · 13/08, 10:15

Prediction: Alejandro Arcila vs Nikola Slavic

Team pages: Alejandro Arcila · Nikola Slavic

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Alejandro Arcila Nikola Slavic
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Arcila 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWLW
Nikola Slavic 6-4 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alejandro Arcila 1541 · Nikola Slavic 1493
Alejandro ArcilaNikola Slavic
Our model57%43%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Arcila (rating 1541 vs 1493).

Statistics

Alejandro ArcilaNikola Slavic
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.1-1
Games (G-P)11.4-8.89.6-9.9
Aces2.34.1
Double faults2.23.4
1st serve %68.8%66.7%
Break %61.4%36.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alejandro Arcila

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Malmo
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 7-13 L
07/07 Lisandru Rodriguez
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Joan Torres Espinosa
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
09/06 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M25 Martos · ~Hard
1-2 8-16 L
07/11 Glib Sekachov
UTR Pro Tucson · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
07/11 Matthias Uwe Kask
UTR Pro Tucson · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
05/11 Kahven Singh
UTR Pro Tucson · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
05/11 Roi Ginat
UTR Pro Tucson · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/11 Bautista Durrels Rojo
UTR Pro Tucson · Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Nikola Slavic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Henri Haupt
M15 Malmo
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Aristotelis Thanos
M25 Gentofte
1-2 12-15 L
28/07 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-8 W
12/07 Miguel Damas
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Finn Bass
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
03/07 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Store
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Daniel Tazabekov
M15 Store
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Matic Dimic
M15 Store
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Nik Mikovic
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Stepan Baum
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alejandro Arcila vs Nikola Slavic?

Our model gives 50% to Alejandro Arcila, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.