Tennis · M15 Malmo · 13/08, 12:00

Prediction: Victor Ryden vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Team pages: Victor Ryden · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Victor Ryden William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Victor Ryden 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLWLWLL
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victor Ryden 1536 · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 1452
Victor RydenWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Our model62%38%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victor Ryden (rating 1536 vs 1452).
  • Victor Ryden is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Victor Ryden makes many double faults (4.1/match).
  • Note: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Victor RydenWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.80.9-1.5
Games (G-P)11.1-8.210.7-11.9
Aces1.13.2
Double faults4.16
1st serve %63.3%64.6%
Break %47.6%36%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victor Ryden

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Henry Lieberman
M15 Malmo
2-1 14-9 W
11/08 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Malmo
2-1 10-10 W
10/08 Marcus Bergelin
M15 Malmo
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Marko Milosavljevic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
23/06 Maties Torres Ramis
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
10/06 Marco Furlanetto
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
10/06 Saba George Nanobashvili
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/06 Lawrence Bataljin
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
25/04 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
24/04 Luciano Larosa
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Filip Soderqvist
M15 Malmo
2-0 13-7 W
02/08 Franco Ribero
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
28/07 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
26/07 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Louis Wessels
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Lautaro Midon
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Amit Vales
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
01/07 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Romain Faucon
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victor Ryden vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra?

Our model gives 59% to William Rejchtman Vinciguerra, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.