Prediction: Kevin Edengren vs Karl Friberg
Team pages: Kevin Edengren · Karl Friberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Kevin Edengren
Karl Friberg
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kevin Edengren
3-7 (W-L)
Karl Friberg
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kevin Edengren 1480 · Karl Friberg 1525
| Kevin Edengren | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Friberg (rating 1480 vs 1525).
Statistics
| Kevin Edengren | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.5 | 11.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 73% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kevin Edengren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Leo Borg M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Denia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Francisco Faria M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Rahul Dhokia M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Karol Malirz M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Cyril Vandermeersch M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Petr Nesterov M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikola Slavic M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kevin Edengren vs Karl Friberg?
Our model gives 61% to Karl Friberg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.