Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 13/08, 10:00

Prediction: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Mia Ristic

Team pages: Zhibek Kulambayeva · Mia Ristic

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Zhibek Kulambayeva Mia Ristic
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Zhibek Kulambayeva 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLWWL
Mia Ristic 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1552 · Mia Ristic 1558
Zhibek KulambayevaMia Ristic
Our model49%51%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Zhibek KulambayevaMia Ristic
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.8-0.5
Games (G-P)11.3-9.612.5-7.6
Aces0.41
Double faults3.20.9
1st serve %53.3%67.1%
Break %56.2%58.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhibek Kulambayeva

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Zongyu Li
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
10/08 Elena Korokozidi
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/08 Ying Zhang
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-10 L
13/07 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Lisa Zaar
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W75 The Hague
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 The Hague
2-1 14-11 W
06/07 Marie Vogt
W75 The Hague
2-1 16-10 W
05/07 Amelie Van Impe
W75 The Hague
2-1 16-13 W

Mia Ristic

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Havah Kaur Kaler
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
31/07 Laura Samsonova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
30/07 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
28/07 Darja Semenistaja
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/07 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Viola Turini
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Gabriela Ce
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Tatiana Pieri
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Gaia Maduzzi
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Erika Andreeva
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Mia Ristic?

Our model gives 63% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.