Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 13/08, 05:30

Prediction: Fanming Meng vs Adrian Arcon

Team pages: Fanming Meng · Adrian Arcon

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Fanming Meng Adrian Arcon
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Fanming Meng 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLW
Adrian Arcon 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fanming Meng 1472 · Adrian Arcon 1491
Fanming MengAdrian Arcon
Our model47%53%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Fanming MengAdrian Arcon
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.20.9-1.2
Games (G-P)9.5-9.58.1-9.1
Aces1.63.5
Double faults2.63.6
1st serve %70.2%61%
Break %41.4%32.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fanming Meng

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Jangjun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Amirkhamza Nasridinov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
26/06 Xirui Han
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Chase Ferguson
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Yeongseok Jeong
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Thantub Suksumrarn
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
05/06 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Adrian Arcon

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Shintaro Imai
M15 Tianjin
2-1 15-14 W
11/08 Yuquan Jin
M15 Tianjin
1-0 6-1 W
28/07 Elijah Cham
M15 Brisbane
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/06 Leo Hsu
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Robert Strombachs
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
18/05 Ethan Terblanche
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-1 13-10 W
12/05 James Weber
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Florent Bax
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/05 Medhir Goyal
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fanming Meng vs Adrian Arcon?

Our model gives 65% to Fanming Meng, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.