Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 16/08, 04:30
Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura · Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Kousuke Ogura
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kousuke Ogura
2-8 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kousuke Ogura
0–1
Omar Jasika
(1 last)
- 08 Jul1-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1493 · Omar Jasika 1623
| Kousuke Ogura | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1493 vs 1623).
- Omar Jasika is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kousuke Ogura 0–1 Omar Jasika (1).
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 2-0 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.9 | 11.9-4.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 70.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Kousuke Ogura 0 – 1 Omar Jasika (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kousuke Ogura 0–1 Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 M15 Tokyo | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Duckhee Lee M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Miles Jones M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Jaesung Choe M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 76% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.