Tennis · M15 Trier · 13/08, 10:00

Prediction: Niklas Schell vs Bruno Fernandez

Team pages: Niklas Schell · Bruno Fernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Niklas Schell Bruno Fernandez
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Niklas Schell 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLLW
Bruno Fernandez 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niklas Schell 1486 · Bruno Fernandez 1406
Niklas SchellBruno Fernandez
Our model61%39%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Schell (rating 1486 vs 1406).
  • Niklas Schell is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Bruno Fernandez makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Niklas SchellBruno Fernandez
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 11% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.9-1.7
Games (G-P)10.4-10.411.8-13.4
Aces3.13.9
Double faults3.85.4
1st serve %74.1%67.1%
Break %36.1%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niklas Schell

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Lucas Ernst
M15 Trier
2-0 12-1 W
05/07 Michiel de Krom
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
01/07 Yannik Kelm
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Ilian Borlee
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
18/06 Dominic Stephan Stricker
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
17/06 Manuel Plunger
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Viacheslav Bielinskyi
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/06 Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/05 Bor Artnak
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/05 Luca Castagnola
M15 Litija · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Bruno Fernandez

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Luca Castagnola
M15 Trier
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Bogota · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
30/06 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Challenger Quito · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
26/06 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
15/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
10/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
12/05 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
06/05 Murkel Dellien
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/05 Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niklas Schell vs Bruno Fernandez?

Our model gives 58% to Bruno Fernandez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.