Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 13/08, 10:00
Prediction: Elena Milovanovic vs Darya Astakhova
Team pages: Elena Milovanovic · Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Milovanovic
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Milovanovic
7-3 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Milovanovic 1565 · Darya Astakhova 1482
| Elena Milovanovic | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Milovanovic (rating 1565 vs 1482).
- Elena Milovanovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Elena Milovanovic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Elena Milovanovic | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9 | 8.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Milovanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Xinran Sun W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Gyeong Seo Lee W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Sara Cakarevic W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Sina Herrmann W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Yushan Shao W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Juliana Giaccio W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Darya Astakhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Xinxin Yao W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Milovanovic vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 57% to Darya Astakhova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.