Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 12/08, 22:30
Prediction: Filip Apltauer vs Stewart Aronson
Team pages: Filip Apltauer · Stewart Aronson
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Apltauer
Stewart Aronson
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Apltauer
7-3 (W-L)
Stewart Aronson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Apltauer 1579 · Stewart Aronson 1526
| Filip Apltauer | Stewart Aronson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Apltauer (rating 1579 vs 1526).
- Note: Filip Apltauer makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Stewart Aronson makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Filip Apltauer | Stewart Aronson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.9 | 10.3-8.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Apltauer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Tygen Goldammer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Jacob Lee UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Kai-Luca Ampaw UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Cooper Han UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nikola Parichkov UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Aryan Badlani UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/01 | Cooper Woestendick UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/01 | Isaac Nortey UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/01 | Matthis Ross UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/12 | Vikas Deo UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Stewart Aronson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Charles Frey UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/01 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/12 | Liam Kilmer UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Apltauer vs Stewart Aronson?
Our model gives 62% to Filip Apltauer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.