Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 14/08, 21:00
Prediction: Justin Lyons vs Azariah Rusher
Team pages: Justin Lyons · Azariah Rusher
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Lyons
Azariah Rusher
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Lyons
5-5 (W-L)
Azariah Rusher
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Justin Lyons
1–0
Azariah Rusher
(1 last)
- 02 Dec2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Lyons 1472 · Azariah Rusher 1459
| Justin Lyons | Azariah Rusher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Justin Lyons 1–0 Azariah Rusher (1).
Statistics
| Justin Lyons | Azariah Rusher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.9 | 8.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 55% |
| Break % | 27.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Justin Lyons 1 – 0 Azariah Rusher (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justin Lyons 1–0 Azariah Rusher
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 UTR Pro Tallahassee | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Lyons
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | David Krasner UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Jan Sebesta UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/12 | John Bernard UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/12 | Albert Saar UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Vito Tonejc UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/12 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Azariah Rusher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Juan David Velasquez UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Kai-Luca Ampaw UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Evan Burnett UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Lyons vs Azariah Rusher?
Our model gives 54% to Azariah Rusher, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.