Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Elias Sumann vs Justin Lyons
Team pages: Justin Lyons
Prediction summary
Winner
Elias Sumann
Justin Lyons
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Sumann
4-6 (W-L)
Justin Lyons
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elias Sumann 1475 · Justin Lyons 1478
| Elias Sumann | Justin Lyons | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Elias Sumann | Justin Lyons | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.3 | 8.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elias Sumann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Stewart Aronson UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Lun Obrul M15 Store |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Jure Siftar M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Preston Brown M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/02 | Kian Vakili M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Justin Lyons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | David Krasner UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Jan Sebesta UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/12 | John Bernard UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/12 | Albert Saar UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Vito Tonejc UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elias Sumann vs Justin Lyons?
Our model gives 55% to Justin Lyons, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.