Tennis · M15 Malmo · 12/08, 10:15

Prediction: Filip Soderqvist vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Team pages: Filip Soderqvist · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Filip Soderqvist William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Soderqvist 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWLW
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Filip Soderqvist 1548 · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 1439
Filip SoderqvistWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Our model65%35%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Soderqvist (rating 1548 vs 1439).
  • Filip Soderqvist is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Filip SoderqvistWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Win %70%20%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.70.7-1.7
Games (G-P)11.9-99.7-12.3
Aces13.2
Double faults15.8
1st serve %73%64.3%
Break %56.5%29.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Filip Soderqvist

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Martins Rocens
M15 Malmo
2-0 12-6 W
10/08 Ole Bredschneijder
M15 Malmo
2-1 11-9 W
07/08 Rein Koenders
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
06/08 Noah Zeiger
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
05/08 Serign Samba
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
04/08 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/08 Baltazar Wiger Nordas
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Trisztan Gubi
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
01/08 Milan Markovits
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
31/07 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
1-2 18-19 L

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Franco Ribero
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
28/07 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
26/07 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Louis Wessels
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Lautaro Midon
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Amit Vales
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
01/07 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Romain Faucon
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
11/06 Anton Shepp
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 3-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Filip Soderqvist vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra?

Our model gives 52% to William Rejchtman Vinciguerra, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.