Tennis · M15 Malmo · 12/08, 10:15

Prediction: Henry Lieberman vs Victor Ryden

Team pages: Henry Lieberman · Victor Ryden

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Henry Lieberman Victor Ryden
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Lieberman 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLL
Victor Ryden 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henry Lieberman 1435 · Victor Ryden 1535
Henry LiebermanVictor Ryden
Our model36%64%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victor Ryden (rating 1435 vs 1535).
  • Victor Ryden is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Henry Lieberman makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Henry LiebermanVictor Ryden
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.5-0.8
Games (G-P)9.2-8.811.3-8.6
Aces2.31.3
Double faults4.63
1st serve %72.3%64.1%
Break %35.5%46.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henry Lieberman

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
22/07 Keshav Chopra
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
15/07 Dillon Beckles
M15 Rochester
1-2 11-13 L
05/07 Miko Lapalme
M25 Laval
0-2 6-12 L
18/05 Noah Karma
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
1-2 7-10 L
17/05 Korto Rius
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
11/05 Jan Hrazdil
M25 Louny · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L
06/05 Conor Gannon
M25 Nottingham
0-2 4-12 L
04/05 Mason Dace
M25 Nottingham
2-0 12-2 W
03/05 Cameron Price
M25 Nottingham Qual
2-0 11-1 W

Victor Ryden

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Malmo
2-1 10-10 W
10/08 Marcus Bergelin
M15 Malmo
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Marko Milosavljevic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
23/06 Maties Torres Ramis
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
10/06 Marco Furlanetto
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
10/06 Saba George Nanobashvili
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/06 Lawrence Bataljin
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
25/04 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
24/04 Luciano Larosa
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
22/04 August Brostroem Poulsen
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henry Lieberman vs Victor Ryden?

Our model gives 54% to Victor Ryden, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.