Tennis · M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Stefan Popovic vs Oscar Brown
Team pages: Stefan Popovic · Oscar Brown
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Popovic
Oscar Brown
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Popovic
5-5 (W-L)
Oscar Brown
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Popovic 1515 · Oscar Brown 1562
| Stefan Popovic | Oscar Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Brown (rating 1515 vs 1562).
Statistics
| Stefan Popovic | Oscar Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.6 | 10.7-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 61.1% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Popovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Max Houkes M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Gorazd Srbljak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Edoardo Zanada M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Federico Valle M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/05 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 30/04 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Oscar Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sergej Zivkovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Zach Stephens M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Matthew Carroll M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Conor Brady M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Harry Jordan M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Novak Novakovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Popovic vs Oscar Brown?
Our model gives 54% to Stefan Popovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.