Tennis · M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 14/08, 10:00
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Alexander Vasilev
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Alexander Vasilev
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Alexander Vasilev
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
7-3 (W-L)
Alexander Vasilev
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1553 · Alexander Vasilev 1500
| Marat Sharipov | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1553 vs 1500).
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.2 | 10.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Patrick Jozwicki M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | George Lazarov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mihailo Savic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Alexander Vasilev?
Our model gives 59% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.