Tennis · M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 13/08, 11:30

Prediction: Vuk Radjenovic vs Ognjen Milic

Team pages: Vuk Radjenovic · Ognjen Milic

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Vuk Radjenovic Ognjen Milic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Vuk Radjenovic 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLWW
Ognjen Milic 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Vuk Radjenovic 0–1 Ognjen Milic (1 last)
  • 22 May0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vuk Radjenovic 1513 · Ognjen Milic 1576
Vuk RadjenovicOgnjen Milic
Our model41%59%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ognjen Milic (rating 1513 vs 1576).
  • Ognjen Milic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Vuk Radjenovic 0–1 Ognjen Milic (1).
  • Note: Vuk Radjenovic makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Vuk RadjenovicOgnjen Milic
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.7-0.7
Games (G-P)10.1-9.712.6-9.2
Aces3.73.9
Double faults53.8
1st serve %70.2%66.6%
Break %28.1%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

H2H · Vuk Radjenovic 01 Ognjen Milic (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vuk Radjenovic 01 Ognjen Milic

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/05/24
M15 Kursumlijska Banja
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vuk Radjenovic

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Samuil Chestovaliev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
11/08 Andrea Motta
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
06/08 Veljko Krstic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Makoto Ochi
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
28/07 Nikola Slavic
M25 Gentofte
0-2 8-12 L
02/07 Stefan Popovic
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
02/07 Joseph Hernandez
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
25/06 Samir Hamza Reguig
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/06 Alexander Bernard
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Ognjen Milic

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Ruslan Tiukaev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
06/08 Gabriele Piraino
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
12/07 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
11/07 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/07 Pierre Delage
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
10/07 Milos Mikovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Jorge Plans
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Brasov · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
30/06 Francesco Maestrelli
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vuk Radjenovic vs Ognjen Milic?

Our model gives 72% to Ognjen Milic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.