Tennis · M15 Trier · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Carlos Giraldi vs Bengt Johan Reinhard

Team pages: Carlos Giraldi

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Carlos Giraldi Bengt Johan Reinhard
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Giraldi 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLWLLW
Bengt Johan Reinhard 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlos Giraldi 1463 · Bengt Johan Reinhard 1532
Carlos GiraldiBengt Johan Reinhard
Our model40%60%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bengt Johan Reinhard (rating 1463 vs 1532).
  • Bengt Johan Reinhard is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Bengt Johan Reinhard makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Carlos GiraldiBengt Johan Reinhard
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51.4-1.1
Games (G-P)9.4-10.911.7-11.6
Aces12.4
Double faults3.54.1
1st serve %58.4%64.1%
Break %45.5%47.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlos Giraldi

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Dean Thurner
M15 Trier
2-0 12-3 W
04/08 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Jack Loge
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Pepijn Bastiaansen
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 13-7 W
14/07 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Uslar
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 George Lazarov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/06 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
16/06 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-8 L
12/06 Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L

Bengt Johan Reinhard

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Andre Nemeth
M15 Trier
2-0 12-8 W
06/08 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Frankfurt
1-2 9-16 L
05/08 Dennis Andre Dutine
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 20-19 W
04/08 Lieven Mietusch
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 13-9 W
03/08 Joshua Schaefer
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-4 W
22/06 Julius Maximilian Haus
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
1-2 8-9 L
28/08 Michael Agwi
ITF M15 Allershausen · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Aiden Spoolder
ITF M15 Allershausen · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
21/08 Michael Agwi
ITF M25 Uberlingen
0-2 6-12 L
21/08 Christopher Patzanovsky
ITF M25 Uberlingen
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlos Giraldi vs Bengt Johan Reinhard?

Our model gives 55% to Bengt Johan Reinhard, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.