Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 13/08, 04:00
Prediction: Jaesung Choe vs Fumin Jiang
Team pages: Jaesung Choe · Fumin Jiang
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaesung Choe
Fumin Jiang
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jaesung Choe
3-7 (W-L)
Fumin Jiang
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaesung Choe 1476 · Fumin Jiang 1436
| Jaesung Choe | Fumin Jiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaesung Choe (rating 1476 vs 1436).
- Note: Fumin Jiang makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Jaesung Choe | Fumin Jiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.6 | 7.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaesung Choe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Fumin Jiang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Roman Sancilio M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/04 | Sebastian Gima M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/01 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/01 | Zhengyu Sun M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/12 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Marrakech |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaesung Choe vs Fumin Jiang?
Our model gives 64% to Jaesung Choe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.