Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 13/08, 04:00
Prediction: Adrian Arcon vs Shintaro Imai
Team pages: Adrian Arcon · Shintaro Imai
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Arcon
Shintaro Imai
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Arcon
3-7 (W-L)
Shintaro Imai
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Arcon 1472 · Shintaro Imai 1526
| Adrian Arcon | Shintaro Imai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shintaro Imai (rating 1472 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Adrian Arcon | Shintaro Imai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-8.6 | 12-9.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Arcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yuquan Jin M15 Tianjin |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 28/07 | Elijah Cham M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Leo Hsu M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Robert Strombachs M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Ethan Terblanche M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/05 | James Weber M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Florent Bax Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Medhir Goyal Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/04 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
Shintaro Imai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Taki Adachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Arcon vs Shintaro Imai?
Our model gives 76% to Shintaro Imai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.