Tennis · M15 Malmo · 11/08, 10:15

Prediction: Martins Rocens vs Filip Soderqvist

Team pages: Martins Rocens

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Martins Rocens Filip Soderqvist
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Martins Rocens 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWWWLW
Filip Soderqvist 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martins Rocens 1470 · Filip Soderqvist 1527
Martins RocensFilip Soderqvist
Our model42%58%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Soderqvist (rating 1470 vs 1527).
  • Note: Martins Rocens makes many double faults (6.4/match).

Statistics

Martins RocensFilip Soderqvist
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.4-10.111.8-9.8
Aces1.31
Double faults6.41
1st serve %63.2%70%
Break %61.1%33%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martins Rocens

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Love Nyqvist
M15 Malmo
2-1 12-11 W
05/08 Arian Barbic
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Emil Rast
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 13-8 W
21/07 Thomas Miranda
M25 Denia
1-2 7-12 L
14/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Gandia
1-2 10-9 L
08/07 Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Lodz
0-2 6-13 L
07/07 Przemyslaw Michocki
M15 Lodz
2-1 9-7 W
15/06 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
14/06 Karim Al-Amin
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Mustapha El Natour
M25 Martos · ~Hard
1-2 9-11 L

Filip Soderqvist

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Ole Bredschneijder
M15 Malmo
2-1 11-9 W
07/08 Rein Koenders
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
06/08 Noah Zeiger
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
05/08 Serign Samba
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
04/08 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/08 Baltazar Wiger Nordas
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Trisztan Gubi
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
01/08 Milan Markovits
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
31/07 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
1-2 18-19 L
30/07 Botond Nagy
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martins Rocens vs Filip Soderqvist?

Our model gives 56% to Filip Soderqvist, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.