Tennis · M15 Malmo · 11/08, 10:15

Prediction: Dorian Tremblay vs Samuel Rovai

Team pages: Dorian Tremblay · Samuel Rovai

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Dorian Tremblay Samuel Rovai
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dorian Tremblay 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLWL
Samuel Rovai 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorian Tremblay 1456 · Samuel Rovai 1576
Dorian TremblaySamuel Rovai
Our model33%67%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuel Rovai (rating 1456 vs 1576).
  • Samuel Rovai is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Dorian TremblaySamuel Rovai
Win %30%80%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.7-0.5
Games (G-P)8-10.611.6-8.2
Aces3.31
Double faults3.11.8
1st serve %60.3%72.3%
Break %36.1%58.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorian Tremblay

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Amaury Raynel
M15 Strasbourg
0-2 8-12 L
27/07 Noah Boutleux
M15 Strasbourg
2-1 9-10 W
19/07 Max Benaim
M15 Rognac
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Ivan Biletic
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 7-11 L
25/06 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Nazar Oliynykov
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Luka Vuglar
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
25/05 Lasse Poertner
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
06/04 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Samuel Rovai

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/08 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 14-9 W
07/08 Jan Urbanski
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 Felix Neumeister
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Vit Kalina
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/08 Rein Koenders
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Eyal Shumilov
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
30/07 Patrik Munkhammar
M25 Gentofte
1-2 10-16 L
28/07 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-6 W
27/07 Andre Meinertz
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-5 W
26/07 Michael Minasyan
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorian Tremblay vs Samuel Rovai?

Our model gives 62% to Samuel Rovai, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.