Tennis · M15 Trier · 11/08, 11:00

Prediction: Carlos Giraldi vs Dean Thurner

Team pages: Carlos Giraldi

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Carlos Giraldi Dean Thurner
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Giraldi 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWLL
Dean Thurner 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlos Giraldi 1453 · Dean Thurner 1453
Carlos GiraldiDean Thurner
Our model50%50%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Dean Thurner makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Carlos GiraldiDean Thurner
Win %30%20%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.7-1.7
Games (G-P)9.1-10.87.7-10.8
Aces1.11.2
Double faults3.35.6
1st serve %60.5%58.2%
Break %44.9%33.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlos Giraldi

LLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Jack Loge
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Pepijn Bastiaansen
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 13-7 W
14/07 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Uslar
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 George Lazarov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/06 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
16/06 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-8 L
12/06 Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
11/06 Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 9-2 W

Dean Thurner

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/06 Batiste Guerra
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/06 Dany Robas
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 8-11 W
21/04 Henry Lieberman
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 7-10 L
03/03 Luca Parenti
M25 Trimbach · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/03 Ozan Avanoglu
M25 Trimbach · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W
02/02 Thomas Drayton
M15 Zahra · ~Hard
1-2 9-8 L
26/01 Kazuki Nishiwaki
M15 Zahra · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/12 Steffan Van Weldam
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/12 Fons Van Sambeek
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
10/12 Vadym Konovchuk
UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 14-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlos Giraldi vs Dean Thurner?

Our model gives 66% to Carlos Giraldi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.