Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 12/08, 15:00
Prediction: Maxwell Exsted vs Tomas Martinez
Team pages: Maxwell Exsted · Tomas Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxwell Exsted
Tomas Martinez
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maxwell Exsted
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxwell Exsted 1504 · Tomas Martinez 1474
| Maxwell Exsted | Tomas Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tomas Martinez makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Maxwell Exsted | Tomas Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.1 | 10.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxwell Exsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Benjamin Berger M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Tomas Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mauricio Echazu Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 28/06 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Quito Qual · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxwell Exsted vs Tomas Martinez?
Our model gives 55% to Maxwell Exsted, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.