Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 19/08, 15:00
Prediction: Benjamin Torrealba vs Maxwell Exsted
Team pages: Benjamin Torrealba · Maxwell Exsted
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Torrealba
Maxwell Exsted
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Torrealba
5-5 (W-L)
Maxwell Exsted
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Torrealba 1477 · Maxwell Exsted 1548
| Benjamin Torrealba | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxwell Exsted (rating 1477 vs 1548).
- Note: Benjamin Torrealba makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Torrealba | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.9 | 9.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Torrealba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Wilson Leite M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/04 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/04 | Franco Ribero Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Campinas · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/04 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maxwell Exsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Torrealba vs Maxwell Exsted?
Our model gives 63% to Maxwell Exsted, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.