Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 19/08, 16:30
Prediction: Nathan Cox vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Team pages: Nathan Cox · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Nathan Cox
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nathan Cox
3-7 (W-L)
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nathan Cox 1468 · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1623
| Nathan Cox | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1468 vs 1623).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nathan Cox | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.4 | 12.4-5.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nathan Cox
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 10/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Axel Nefve M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Zac Hamill M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Liam Krall M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Noah Zamora M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/08 | Santiago Pesino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Estevez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nathan Cox vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo?
Our model gives 81% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.